The Government Should Offload Its Burdens

Will we see the re-introduction of fuel subsidies?

I find it puzzling that the government has shut its doors on Maju Holdings’s intention of buying the PLUS concessions (Govt Shuts Door On Maju’s Bid for PLUS – Malaysian Digest, 26 November 2017) when I don’t think they have actually met with Maju Holdings to discuss the proposed deal.

Although the Second Finance Minister said in September that the Finance Ministry would first and foremost get some clarification from Maju Holdings on how they plan to execute the no-toll-hike deal before deciding whether or not to allow the deal to happen, I can bet my bottom dollar that at the time of writing this post, they have not met.

The Second Finance Minister wants to obtain clarification from Maju Holdings before deciding

I have written on this matter before and I have laid down my reasons and Tan Sri Abu Sahid’s explanation that he made to the press during his interview sessions, but I am writing this again because I am alarmed at how the government has made a decision without even doing its due diligence on the matter.

The government’s decision to do away with four tolls beginning 1 January 2018 may be good news for those in the Klang Valley and those who go shopping at Bukit Kayu Hitam or drive into Thailand, but we also know that it costs 20 sen to 30 sen to use a public toilet.  So, nothing is for free.  While the people in the areas mentioned above enjoy their toll-free highway, the rest are made to pay in the form of an extension to the conclusion of the concession of other highways operated by PLUS beyond 2038.

That is not all.  The government would have to fork out RM110 million a year as compensation to PLUS, not inclusive of the compensation the government would have to pay every time they disallow a toll rate hike.  Multiply that figure alone by 20 years, it would come up to RM2.2 billion.  Now that is not a small sum of money.  RM2.2 billion could get you 22 80-bed hospitals that could benefit especially the rural areas of Sabah and Sarawak, or in a term that I am more familiar with, four squadrons of the KAI FA-50 supersonic advanced trainers and light combat aircraft. That is almost 50 badly-needed aircraft altogether.

Not only does the government have to think about finding money to compensate PLUS every year for the loss of income from the four tolls, the government also has to think about compensating PLUS and other concessionaires every time they are allowed to increase their rates.

With the global oil price rebounding, the government has also announced that it would think of a measure to not allow retail petrol (RON95). That sounds like more money flying away in the form of a subsidy – something the government has fought hard to do away with.

The proposed deal by Maju Holdings sounds sweet to me now.  Question is, what is the Finance Ministry and/or Khazanah afraid of?

Is it because Abu Sahid is perceived as Mahathir’s crony?  Then again, which owner of a Malaysian conglomerate isn’t a crony of Mahathir’s?  Out of the 10 richest persons in Malaysia in 2016 perhaps only a couple are not Mahathir’s cronies.

Is it because the Finance Ministry and/or Khazanah thinks that Abu Sahid does not know what he is talking about because he only operates a 26-kilometre highway therefore what does he know about a 800-kilometre one?  The question is what highway did UEM even operate before it was given PLUS? How different is Maju Holdings to MTD Prime and Anih Berhad that are now running the 358-kilometre East Coast Highway after running only the 60-kilometre KL-Karak highway?

Or are people on different levels making PLUS their cash cow? I’m just throwing my thoughts here because I cannot see what are they so afraid of if someone can help them lower their financial burdens.

The Finance Ministry keeps saying that it does not want to have to bail out Maju Holdings should the deal go wrong in the future, I ask myself, and perhaps the Finance Ministry and Khazanah too, should they not pray for the Maju Holdings to fail?  Abu Sahid wants to give the UEM and EPF RM4 billion in cash for free as a return on investments made in PLUS. That is a 20 percent Internal Rate of Return (IRR).

On top of that Abu Sahid through Maju Holdings, with the backing of his financiers, seeks to forfeit the government’s compensation of about RM900 million owed to the toll road operator, which arose as a result of toll hikes not being implemented.  Imagine what the government could do by chanelling this money to sectors that badly need such funds.

In other words, the government should pray for Abu Sahid to fail after giving him PLUS – the government takes back the highway which is already toll-free then as there would not be any concessionaire, while Maju Holdings would have to face its financiers.  The highway and all its infrastructures already belong to the government no matter what, and the government can still impose tolls albeit minimal to help maintain the PLUS highways.  So, what has the government got to lose?

Loss of income by EPF that affects its contributors?  I find that hard to swallow.  EPF has so much money that it would seek to re-invest in PLUS even after the deal takes place.  EPF needs to make money for its contributors. Or it could just seek to invest in another company.  EPF has so much money that it is investing in both money-making and money-losing companies as it is now.

Therefore, as a rakyat, I reiterate my concerns taking into account the amount of money needed to compensate PLUS for abolishing the four tolls, the amount of money needed to compensate PLUS and other concessionaires to not increase toll prices, and the imminent need to subsidise RON95 – has the government seen the assumptions made by Maju Holdings? Has the government called Maju Holdings or its financial adviser Evercore for a meeting like it said it would, before even deciding to shut the door on Maju Holdings? Has the government done a due diligence on the proposal by Maju Holdings?

The government should seriously rethink its stance in this issue.  There is just too much money that needs to be involved if the government continues to keep PLUS.  This is money that could be used to pay the other concessionaires to not hike up their rates as PLUS under Maju Holdings would not be increasing theirs until the concession agreement runs out.  Or the savings could go to building more schools, hospitals or buy more fighters for the Air Force.

The government has an opportunity to offload its financial burdens.  But why is it so afraid to take that step?

Jangan Lakukan Kesilapan Dan Kebodohan Saya – Mahathir

  
Tajuk di atas adalah merupakan pengakuan Mahathir sendiri pada tahun 2007.

“Ini adalah salah satu perkara yang perlu kita betulkan. Apa yang diperlukan adalah sebuah kabinet yang tidak selalunya berpengetahuan kerana ianya dibentuk oleh ahli-ahli politik dan bukannya para pakar dan kadangkala ahli politik seperti saya boleh menjadi bodoh,” jawab beliau kepada para wartawan yang memberitahu bahawa kelima-lima lebuhraya bertol dibina semasa beliau menjadi Perdana Menteri.

Kita semua maklum bagaimana baru-baru ini kadar tol dikebanyakan lebuhraya dinaikkan, kecuali lebuhraya-lebuhraya yang dikendalikan oleh PLUS. Ini adalah kerana lebuhraya-lebuhraya PLUS dimiliki 51 peratus oleh UEM Berhad dan 49 peratus oleh Tabung Haji. UEM adalah 100 peratus milik Khazanah. Langkah pemilikan PLUS Berhad telah dibuat di bawah pentadbiran Najib pada tahun 2009.

Bagi kenaikan tambang ERL yang dimiliki YTL Berhad, konsesi ERL telah ditandatangani juga semasa pentadbiran Mahathir. Menurut perjanjian konsesi tersebut, sekiranya kerajaan enggan membenarkan kenaikan tambang, kerajaan wajib membayar RM2.9 bilion kepada YTL atau membenarkan mereka menyambung konsesi selama 30 tahun lagi.

Kenaikan yang membebankan rakyat kini adalah akibat kesilapan dan kebodohan yang telah dilakukan oleh pentadbiran Mahathir. Yang menanggung kebodohan tersebut adalah kita rakyat dan tempias akibat kebodohan tersebut terkena kepada pentadbiran kini. Adalah diharap pentadbiran kini tidak terjangkit kebodohan yang sama dan lebuhraya Pan Borneo bebas tol sepanjang 2,083 kilometer yang diumumkan oleh Najib baru-baru ini merupakan harapan cerah bahawa kebodohan tersebut telahpun berakhir.

Nota kaki: sila baca dengan lebih lanjut bagaimana YTL bekerja kuat untuk mendapatkan kontrak-kontrak kerana ianya bukan syarikat kroni Mahathir

Populism Does Nothing

Yesterday, Deputy Prime Minister Muhyiddin Yassin announced that there will not be any toll rates hikes for 2014. To BN supporters, this is a form of a coup de grace to the speculation made by the Opposition that there would be a toll rates hike. As a sacrifice, the government will have to fork out RM400 million to pay the toll concessionaires.

If I may shoot the euphoric atmosphere down, the announcement does not guarantee that there would not be a hike post 2014, and road users such as I will still have to grind our teeth in expecting the imminent.

The move, to me, is just another attempt at improving the government’s popularity rate especially that the support for Najib Razak’s government is at its lowest I was told. In short, this is another short-sighted and myopic plan to win the people’s support.

What the Najib government may not realise is that only people in Kuala Lumpur live having to pay toll commuting to work or to get from one point to another on a daily basis. Using RM400 million of taxpayers’ money for the benefit of only nine percent of the population has to be one of the silliest plans ever. People in Perlis, Sabah, Sarawak hardly pay any toll.

How the RM400 million would probably benefit all is by pumping the amount into fuel subsidies which would have made more sense to a layman like me. I spend RM600 on an average month on petrol. I just wish Najib would kick his useless advisers out for daring to even suggest such a stupid scheme.